COVID-19 Death Rate in North Carolina

NC Death Rate From COVID-19

• According to Statista, the death rate from COVID-19 in NC is .015%
  • For every 100,000 people that catch this virus, 15 die.
• However, 75% of those deaths are from people that had “at least 1 chronic underlying condition” which puts the death rate for healthy people at .00375%
  • 15 x .25 = 3.75 out of 100,000 = .00375%
• This is why Trump and the White House Chief of Staff say 99% of coronavirus cases are totally harmless.
• Data last updated on July 19, 2020.

Source #1
Death rates from coronavirus (COVID-19) in the United States
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1109011/coronavirus-covid19-death-rates-us-by-state/

Source #2
75 percent of coronavirus deaths had at least 1 underlying chronic medical condition, NCDHHS data shows
https://abc11.com/nc-coronavirus-update-cases-chronic-health-conditions/6154193/

Data last updated: July 19, 2020

Other Supporting Data Sources

1. 15 out of 100,000 in NC died so far from COVID-19
   1. There are 10.5 million people in NC
2. 75% of NC deaths has at least 1 underlying chronic medical condition
3. 1,396 people have died of COVID-19 in NC as of July 6, 2020
4. 56% of NC deaths stem from Nursing Homes
5. NC has a 15 out of 100,000 death rate, which is .014%
   1. Here’s how you turn 15 out of 100,000 into a %: “Another example is the number of deaths from communicable diseases is 18 per 100,000. A rate of 18 per 100,000 is not 18 percent, but .018 percent. To make a rate into a percent, for the example of 18 deaths per 100,000 population, divide by 1,000”
6. 1 million tests done so far and 74,529 positive cases.
7. Deaths by age in NC:
   1. 25-49: 4%
   2. 50-64: 11%
   3. 65+: 85%
8. More data, but from May and earlier as the media stopped caring: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-age-sex-demographics/
9. CDC data on deaths per age: https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Provisional-COVID-19-Death-Counts-by-Sex-Age-and-S/9bhg-hcku

Breaking Down The Data Another Way

• 1,396 people have died from COVID19 so far in NC and 75% of those people had at least 1 underlying chronic medical condition.
• That means 25% of 1,396 deaths didn’t have a chronic underlying medical condition, which means only 349 people have died from COVID19 that didn’t have a chronic underlying medical condition.
• There are 10.5M people in NC. 
• 349 people that died without an underlying medical condition divided by 10.5M = .0033% death rate from COVID 19.

Breaking Down The Data By Age & Chronic Health Conditions

• The NC death rate of .014% lowers even further if you take into consideration that only 4% of the deaths are for people in the 25 to 49 age bracket. That means that there is a .00056% chance Leah and I will die of this virus.